Throughout the last twenty years – voice and data technology has been positioned as the ‘differentiator’ by which companies can distinguish themselves from their competition - whether it is getting closer to your customer through the use of sophisticated contact centres and new CRM initiatives, through to complete integration of all business processes by implementing ERP systems. And the promise of massive costs savings that theoretically these new technologies can deliver – whether it being the ability to offshore your cost base or to reduce headcount and stock levels by delivering better integration with your supplier base.
And, of course, let us not forget the impact of the Internet and all it has to offer in front end order management and customer service, information management and marketing opportunities.
But at what cost?
Fully integrated ERP systems can cost a large corporation millions – but are rarely implemented effectively and promised ROI figures are never met. New technologies often displace older technologies long before the old equipment has even paid for itself – but without any discernable improvement in business performance. The pace of change not just of the technology but the applications is outstripping the average users’ ability to keep up with it, or have time to use it. The growth of new applications, whether it be on an iPod or in a corporate environment, is technology looking for a use – after all who needs an application to divide a restaurant bill amongst friends?
The underlying infrastructure behind these technologies offers manufacturers both opportunity and challenge. For the hardware and systems manufacturer’s – there will always be a need to provide faster systems and greater bandwidth, but as we already know, much of this equipment is simply a commodity. Margins are squeezed by the sheer volume of manufacturers and development costs are in danger of never being recovered. It is a market driven by supply and demand – and over the next few years only the strong will survive.
Many would argue that it is what goes through the infrastructure that will help companies survive and prosper. It is true now that software developers can create the applications to do just about anything we can imagine. But for development companies – the challenge is finding the old adage ‘killer’ application that truly makes the difference. And by ‘killer’ we mean something that everyone wants to (and can) use.
It is within the applications space that today’s CIOs have the difficulty. They are bombarded by solutions from both the traditional business software suppliers and the latest community based application free on the internet. The traditional guys offer strong business cases and ROI charts – the internet offers simple social networking solutions which everyone uses. A few weeks ago at a CIO conference – the CIO of a large multinational, himself only in his mid 40s, was struggling to know what to do with his email service. The problem? – no-one in his organisation under 25 years old was using it! Their preference – Instant Messaging on Facebook which they used to communicate with colleagues in the office. His dilemma – it was completely outside his control – no security, no guaranteed quality of service, and he was paying a fortune for equipment and software that wasn’t being used. Add to that their use of personal mobile phones, and you can see why he has a problem.
Now the telecommunications industry has many such solutions – telepresence, fixed mobile conversion, browser based applications, voicemail integrations with Outlook, etc but how much will it cost to implement, and how long?
For an industry that is predicted to generate over $300 billion is sales in 2009 – all is not yet lost – however large manufacturers will have to quickly understand how to balance the ever decreasing margins on the infrastructure business, with their search for the ‘killer’ application that everyone wants to use. The big software houses have also realised this – the new commoditised infrastructure and the hype around cloud computing will eat into their traditional licence based fee structures.
The next few years will see a completely new desktop in the workplace as companies realise that their employee base have expectations that existing infrastructures just cannot deliver – it is not simply a case for moving from TDM to IP based voice, or desktop computing to network computing – but a much more significant change to user driven simple applications available over any interface, anywhere, anytime.
So the answer to the question? I fear it is too little too late!
Kevin Southworth is the Managing Partner of The Posse Limited, a strategy consultancy specialising in IP telephony and UC applications, and telecom risk assessments.